Archive

Posts Tagged ‘weather’

Weekend on the Links

October 17th, 2009 bclark No comments

I’m not a golfer, but here’s something new I’m trying out. A few links for the weekend reading.

Bad customer service at Target. (I walked down to the aisle in time to catch the stock boy take the sale sign down. He told me he took it down. Not shopping there anymore.

What’s up with the Haiti seeds in Farmville?

You’ll have a long walk if you go to the Penn State game.

A worthwhile experiment – if you can remember to do it for a full month.

Pennsylvania’s new budget cuts funds for environmental projects.

Categories: Tangents

Grilling Time

August 22nd, 2009 bclark No comments

Last year, we borrowed my father-in-law’s second grill. We put it to use and ended up grilling more than 60 times during the year. This year, we set out to grill out at least 72 times.

The only dry part of the Memorial Weekend cook-out was the grill lighting.

The only dry part of the Memorial Weekend cook-out was the grill lighting.

This summer has been particularly moist. It’s been cloudy and wet – half the days in July had rain. But my wife and I have done a good job sneaking in meals at the grill. It’s been a few more lunches than expected (and even breakfast one time). Our big Memorial Day bash was drenched – the out-of-town guests still said they had fun. We’ve dodged rain drops to grill and to pick and choose the days and meals we cook outside.

Earlier today, we grilled out for the 60th time this year. We’ve done the classics – burgers and hot dogs, steak, and chicken. We’ve grilled brats, salmon, tilapia, and pork chops. We’ve even grilled bacon and sausage (but not the famous explosion). And we’ve grilled countless vegetables as sides to almost all of these meals.

Summer is winding down. Fall weather is great – but it isn’t always the best for grilling. Grad classes start a little more than a week from now. That will bring shifts in our work and responsibilities. My wife and I have a busy few months planned – organizing and combining books and movies, scanning photographs, wrestling with boxes of files from one of the community groups I’m involved with. There’s also a handful of weekend trips – weddings and orchard visits among them – scheduled.

Here’s looking forward to at least a dozen more times over the grill.

Categories: Tangents

Tracking Climate Change In My Own Backyard

May 30th, 2009 bclark No comments

I’ve been reading Hot, Flat, and Crowded by Tom Friedman. He argues that demographics and globalization risk making climate change more dramatic than earlier projected. He also expands climate change to be more than Global Warming. He terms it “Global Weirding” and writes that the impact varies from place to place. Some areas have higher temperatures while others have colder weather. Certain months are impacted more than others. Sometimes the result is more rain – other places report dryer conditions.

But global warming is how everyone thinks of climate change so Friedman writes about a series of interviews where his subjects talk about noticing warmer weather. Western ranchers talk about less snow remaining on mountain tops. Another person speaks about the number of record highs and lows set across the country each week. That left me wondering whether I could find any change in weather in my area simply by looking at record highs and lows and when they were set.

I checked the National Weather Service’s repository of record highs and lows for the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre area – my current home. I used the tables from 1955 to present because they’re pulled from a consistent place (the airport) rather than the general area. I typed the date, record high (“maximum high”) and corresponding year, and record low (“minimum low”) and corresponding year into an Excel spreadsheet. It’s unfortunate that the records only cover 54 years, but they’re taken from a consistent area, which was more important to me than whether they covered 100 years worth of temperatures.

Because I wasn’t counting leap day, I had 365 days. The time period covered 54 years. Simple math says that if there are 365 record highs and 365 record lows, I should be able to expect about 7 record highs and 7 record lows each year.

If this covered two years – 1955 and 1956 – I’d expect half of the highs to be from 1955 and the other half to be from 1956. If it covered five years – 1955 to 1959, I’d expect 20 percent of the highs (73) to come from each year. Because I have 54 years, I expected 1.85 percent of the highs to have occurred in any one year. In a 365-day year, that’s 6.75 days. There were 365 lows as well – one for each day of the year. Odds say that another 6.75 lows – rounded to 7 – would set records each year.

I realize that some years just happen to be warmer or cooler than others, and so I wanted a way to lump years together. I decided to do it by decade. There were five years in the 1950s, nine years in the 2000s (the chart doesn’t cover 2009 temperatures), and 10 years for the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s. So odds say that I should have 33 or 34 records from the 1950s, 60 or 61 records from the 200s and 67 or 68 records for the other decades. If my numbers were around there, we’d be setting roughly equal numbers of record highs and record lows each year – and you wouldn’t be able to track the weather getting warmer or colder.

I didn’t get those results.

Decade Projected Number of Records Number of Record Highs Number of Record Lows
1950s 33.8 20 56
1960s 67.6 55 76
1970s 67.6 51 76
1980s 67.6 63 58
1990s 67.6 96 54
2000s 60.8 80 45
Total 365 365 365

As you can see, there were a lot more record high temperatures set more recently than record lows. In the 1990s and the 2000s, there were 77.8 percent more record highs set than record lows set. We were still setting record low temperatures, but we were setting new high temperatures much more often. While the 1990s represented 18.5 percent of the years in the study, 26 percent of the high temperatures occurred in that decade. The 2000s represented 16.7 percent of the years, and 21.9 percent of the high temperatures. The 1950s are 9.3 percent of the years in the study, and 5.5 percent of the high temperatures. That same decade has 15.3 percent of the record lows for the period.

We’re setting both new highs and new lows in each decade. But there highs are coming more frequently most recently. But how drastic is the change? It’s difficult to see because the 1950s and 2000s don’t have the same number of years included as the other decades. To have a better view of the trend, I divided the 54 years into nine groups of six years each: 1955-1960, 1961-1966, 1967-1972, 1973-1978, 1979-1984, 1985-1990, 1991-1996, 1997-2002, 2003-2008.

Odds should say that you should have roughly equal number of record highs and record lows set in each time period – just more than 40.5 each. (1.85 percent of the highs in each of the six years is 11.1 percent of the records, and 11.1 percent of the 365 days in a year is 40.5.) The final numbers didn’t match the odds. Remember, the number of records for both highs and lows should be right around 40.

Number of Records Set

I’ve been really surprised to see this result. I’ll take some time to look into individual months to see if any part of the year is more affected than another. But it turns out to have been pretty easy to chart the fact that’s it’s getting warmer in Northeastern Pennsylvania. We’re setting many more record highs than record lows.

Categories: Analysis, Tangents

A Grande Trip That Should Have Been Venti

December 31st, 2008 bclark 1 comment
Sometimes there are blue skies in Seattle.

Sometimes there are blue skies in Seattle.

Standing outside the terminal of Seattle-Tacoma Airport, I could feel the cool, moist air on my skin. I was waiting for my ride to take me to my hotel in downtown Seattle, and without seeing anything of the area, I could tell the land was defined by the surrounding water. A big sound, lakes, a mixture of rivers, streams, and canals. I wouldn’t get to explore these waterways – nor would I get to see as much of the Pacific Northwest as I had hoped – but I had a pleasant introduction that’s bound to take me back.

I had the chance to travel to Seattle for a conference at the end of October. The Pacific Northwest has long had a hold of my interest for whatever reason, but I had never visited before. I knew some of the basics – rain, coffee, Space Needle – but didn’t know the history or tourist highlights. I had about two weeks notice so I scanned the guidebooks at the local Borders and settled on the 4th Edition of Fodor’s Seattle guide, which I figured would be thoroughly thumbed through on the six hour flight from Philadelphia. I took the book home, cracked it open, circled my hotel (Grand Hyatt – conferences mean a big upgrade on the accommodations) on a map, and stuck a paperclip as a marker at the top of the page.

Pike Place Market - Oct. 30, 2008

The flight from Scranton was late, and I missed my Philadelphia connection. I started a few projects on my laptop and napped on the evening flight. The guidebook was not dog-eared – merely occasionally consulted – each night from my room with the giant neon sign for The Roosevelt Hotel blocking Puget Sound. That’s how deeply I got into the guidebook, and – with this being a business trip – how deeply I got into the city. Since returning, however, I’ve opened up the guidebook to learn more about the city, and I’m sure I’ll return to the city in the same way.

The Native American presence is noticeable in the Pacific Northwest
The Native American presence is noticeable in the Pacific Northwest.

My cousin and her two daughters came into the city after the first day of the conference. We drove to Pike Place Market – a Farmers Market open early every morning and closing at 6 p.m. each night as we found. We had about an hour to wander through the stalls, examining fresh fish, fresh flowers, and fresh coffee. This trip was only going to capture basic Seattle tourism so I got a few standard shots. That’s when my cousin’s daughter spotted the totem poles at the edge of the market. We got a 20-minute second grade lesson on the Native American tribes of the Pacific Northwest before leaving for dinner.

Later that night I left the hotel and crossed the street to Von’s. Some of my friends have dreamed of this bar without ever setting foot in the Pacific time zone. I tried to count the number of bottles lined up behind the bar. I skimmed through old clippings and signs hung on the walls. It isn’t a dive, but an interesting slice of downtown city life.

No, I didn't pack any to take home

No, I didn't pack any to take home

The next day, we swung by the Space Needle and Lake Washington on the way to my cousin’s house. I went trick-or-treating with their family (yeah, dated post, huh?) for the first time in years and spent the night swapping family stories. My flight was scheduled for early the next morning.

The conference never let me get out to see the city. I ended up parked in the hotel for nearly the entire trip. But the visit was just enough to whet my appetite. (And avoid getting wet – just sprinkles one afternoon. The rain, for that week at least, was overhyped.) I’m checking flight costs to the Northwest again – this time for personal and not professional exploration.

Categories: Travel